This part of the Caribbean Dry Season includes its annual peak in March and the continuation of the long Dry Season in the southwestern third of the Guianas. February further marks the transition from the secondary Wet Season into the Short Dry Season in the remainder of the Guianas. It also marks the Cool Season through February. Continued, unusual warmth in the Tropical North Atlantic Ocean coupled with a waning weak La Niña in the Pacific implies:
(i) a slower decrease in severe weather activity, particularly through January in the Guianas, resulting in high potential for flooding, flash floods, cascading hazards and associated impacts there;
(ii) short dry spells increase in frequency;
(iii) comfortable temperatures through February, with episodes of heat discomfort likely limited to inland portions of Belize, the Guianas and Trinidad in March;
(iv) drought impacts in the ABC Islands, the Windward Islands, in southwest Belize and in Grand Cayman.
The CariCOF Climate Outlooks for January to March 2026 can be accessed here.
The latest climate outlook products can be accessed below:
Temperature and Precipitation Outlook Maps, the Drought Outlook, the Wet Days & Wet Spells Outlook, the Dry Spell Outlook, the Flash Flood Potential outlook, the Caribbean Climate Outlook Newsletter.
